This is going to be one of those days where I'm not going to be able to tell you just what kind of hazards we're going to be seeing until they start to pop up. The latest runs of the HRRR are suggesting a couple of intense, possibly *rotating* thunderstorms may be in store for the Thumb Area this afternoon (updraft helicity swaths). VERY LITTLE early day convection has occurred over the region with most of it going north, so there could be a bit more fuel available after all.
The NAM4KM is just *bonkers*, predicting a ridiculously strong squall line forming over the area. I'm still not giving much credence to this forecast, but at this point, it's a safe bet to expect some intense weather in very localized areas this afternoon.
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