There is actually a good shot at thunderstorms developing in Mid Michigan late this afternoon. Mixed layer instability should build to around 1500j/kg by 5PM, however bulk shear values will not be particularly impressive at only around 20kts. This should mean severe weather chances are slim to none, but we could get a good soaking or two from the thunderstorms that do pop up. I wouldn't rule out a brief severe wind gust being possible either, as these updrafts and subsequent downdrafts may be short lived but strong.
More widespread rain and thunder is in the forecast for Thursday, but there's quite a bit of uncertainty as to just how much instability will be present, and we may only wind up seeing remnants. Here's hoping for a couple days of soaking to offset the continuing drought, now expected to last into October. More on that in a full post later.
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