Winter won't quit - Increasing confidence for storm Wednesday

The 6"+ that fell in Huron County melted off for the most part today, leaving more water on still saturated ground. Temperatures continue to hover around freezing, so that waterlogged ground may transition back and forth between ice and mud for some time, especially that which lies in the sunlight.

There remains no letup in sight for our state. A moisture-laden storm from the south will pay us a visit Wednesday, and it's looking like another one that could drop a lot of snow, at least initially. There is a small silver lining in that the snow should transition to rain as temperatures should approach 35-40 by Wednesday evening over the southern two thirds of the area, and the great news is that little to no freezing rain is expected.

Up north, you're almost certain to see all snow, and possibly a great deal of it - 6 to 9 inches is what I'd expect a this point if you live north of Bay County. 6 inches will also be very possible in areas along the US 10 corridor into Huron County. South of that, however, you're going to have a very tight cut-off point where the snow will be much, much less - possibly 20 miles or less. I'd expect 1-3 inches of total snow mixed with potential sleet in these areas, but the transition to rain should be much more rapid here and any snow that does fall should liquefy quickly.

I expect a Winter Storm Watch to be issued within the next day for the counties shaded in dark gray in the outlook, with warnings and advisories to follow thereafter. It may be another very messy travel day Wednesday, so be prepared.

Ready for some more bad news? That second half of April warm-up? Yeah, that's not such a sure thing anymore. I'm beginning to wonder if temperatures won't rebound until the last week of April into May. The polar air mass up north just seems to be too strong for any countermeasures right now. More on that tomorrow.