Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Maintaining marginal severe risk in thunderstorm outlook - things looking grim for MS valley

Last few NAM4KM runs have indicated continued chances of severe weather in southern lower Michigan Wednesday evening, but there's nothing that demonstrates an increase in potential. As such, I'm continuing the marginal outlook I included in previous posts. 



This is not the case for states to the south of Michigan. It is now looking much more likely that a significant tornado outbreak will strike the Mississippi Valley tomorrow. 


If you have friends or family in any of the states designated for significant severe weather, or know anyone traveling to said areas, please make them aware of the situation. This is one of the more scary forecasts I've seen this year, if not the most scary. The hodographs are approaching the levels that they were in the days prior to June 22nd, only this time they're not backing off - if anything they're getting longer, more curved, and more kinked. A very dangerous Christmas may be ahead for many people.

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