Snow pretty much out - Rain/Sleet/Freezing Rain looks like it's on the way

Mid range and short term models are coming in regarding Monday night into Tuesday, and things are looking not-so-great for those who were hoping the historic Texas blizzard would drop a decent amount of snow in Michigan.

Just like the ECMWF predicted the other day, surface temperatures will be much colder than those aloft, leading to precipitation that will fall as liquid. Sleet an freezing rain look to come down overnight Monday, but temperatures on Tuesday should quickly warm to melt any ice accumulation, so I'm not too concerned about a major ice storm, at least at this point. We'll know much more by tomorrow when the high-res and short term models start to come in. By Tuesday afternoon, surface temperatures will be much warmer, as the tropical moisture the system is bringing with it influences the surrounding air, and we'll be looking at plain old rain once again.