Different models are (as usual) predicting different things. As of now, the ECMWF is predicting the most snow for the Mid Michigan area, in a track roughly equivalent to last week's storm, if not a bit more favorable for high snow amounts. Wind speeds with this forecast are once again very strong, meaning blizzard conditions in and around the lakeshore areas would be likely once more. The ECMWF is actually predicting more moisture/higher snowfall rates out of this one than this past week's, with rates of 2-3 inches per hour possible. This is a bit extreme, and may just be an outlier, so I wouldn't bank on this actually happening. Nonetheless, snowfall totals of a foot or more are definitely possible should this forecast verify or even come close to verifying. This model has sped up considerably since its last few runs; just yesterday it was predicting the storm to strike Thursday, and now it's predicting it to strike late Tuesday night, so I'm not really sure about the reliability of this forecast.
The GFS has consistently predicted a storm on Wednesday into Thursday. As of the last few runs, it's pushed the rain/snow line a bit further north and tracks the center of the low through western Lake Erie/southern Ontario, or possibly even as far northwest as Wayne County. This puts those of us north of the I-69 corridor in a good spot to receive lots of snow, but not so much for those along/south of it.
It is very likely at this point that this storm will manifest and we will see snow/high winds out of it, but the question of how much and where, for now, is anyone's guess. Track will again be everything in regards to snow, and with both models it seems to be fluctuating from run to run quite a bit. Once again, this is a wait-and-see situation. We'll know a lot more by the end of Sunday.
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