Our chances may be a bit better than last time, at least according to some meteorologists. The system is forecast to reach deeper into Michigan this time around. However, I'm concerned that what we'll be seeing is nothing more than a repeat of last time for the Thumb with only a slightly more eastern reach. The system may dry out as it crosses Mid Michigan and be completely gone by the time it hits the Thumb. The Thumb would once again remain mostly dry as the system rebuilt to the east over Ontario, and to the south over Ohio. It would be enough to get Mid Michigan wet, but east of Bay City would be out of luck.
With that in mind, the last system was forecast to dissipate sooner than it did last time, with thunderstorms forecast to form over the Thumb. I was supremely confident in the forecast as literally every model was in agreement as to what was going to happen, and atmospheric observations all pointed to the same scenario. Because of this, I along with quite a few experts were left shaking our heads last weekend. If the models repeats their same mistakes, we could wind up getting something out of the remnants from the previous day after all. I hope that this is what happens, as not only are the plants going to suffer but me as well; my allergies are pure misery thanks to the looser pollen/dust in the air and I know a few people in the same boat (the cottonwood trees have been nothing short of brutal).
For the sake of a loud, eventful holiday free from fire disasters, may all of Michigan get a good soaking this Friday.
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