Tuesday, March 22, 2016

NWS adjusts watch headline - Ice storm much more likely

The short range models have consistently predicted less snow than what the Euro has, and my gut has been telling me that we were in danger of a mixed-type storm in Mid Michigan. Unfortunately it looks those dangers are coming to pass, as each subsequent model has indicated as much. The weather service has adjusted their watch headline statement predicting 6"+ of snow down to 3-6" of snow with significant ice accumulation (0.1-0.25"):



MIZ047>049-053>055-222015-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.A.0003.160323T1600Z-160325T0000Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
410 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION...MAINLY NORTH OF M46. THE
   GREATEST SNOW POTENTIAL WILL BE MIDDAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE
   WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

 * SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN OVER SOME OR ALL OF THE
   AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SOME LOCATIONS COULD
   EXPERIENCE ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE
   ACCRETION.

 * NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

Not looking forward to this at all. Ice storms have no redeeming qualities.

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