Text of the watch:
From the forecast discussion page on the Grand Rapids website:
WE ARE FAVORING THE COLDER AND SNOWIER EURO SOLUTION FOR THE
CHANGEOVER AND POSITION OF P-TYPES FROM WED AND INTO THE LONG TERM.
WE BELIEVE THAT THE EURO IS HANDLING THE UPPER LOW MUCH BETTER AS IT
EMERGES FROM THE ROCKIES. THE GFS AND NAM SEEM TO HAVE THE UPPER LOW
ACCELERATE EAST TOO MUCH RESULTING FROM INTERACTIONS WITH INDIVIDUAL
SHORT WAVES.
NWS Detroit has yet to pull the trigger on a watch, citing model inconsistency. I agree with them, and still think this could go either way, which is why I'm maintaining my "predictability too low" outlook for at least another model run or two. However, every weather personality in my immediate circle seems to favor the rain/snow line being along I-69, with snow to the north. That would place Mid Michigan directly in the bullseye for the heaviest snow once again, I'd say in the 8-12 inch range at this point.
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