Latest runs significantly downgrade Saturday's sever weather chances

Other than a slice of central/SE lower Michigan, it doesn't appear like we'll be seeing favorable conditions for severe weather on Saturday. Even for the areas in the SPC's marginal risk zone, the NAM is nowhere near as aggressive as it was in last night's model runs.

The latest NAM run is predicting conditions nowhere near as robust as what last night's runs were.

With that in mind, our day for big thunder looks like it may be tomorrow after all.  The SPC specifically mentions that an MCS might move through our area, bringing severe wind.  A marginal risk has been assigned for pretty much the entire lower peninsula for this time frame.