Saturday, August 1, 2015

NAM4KM 8PM run makes ominous prediction

Wow.  All I can say at this point is wow.

NAM4KM supercell composite forecast for tomorrow
NAM4KM simulated radar for tomorrow
I've been anticipating this event since last week, and yesterday is when it started to look very ugly, but nothing made me expect that something like what's shown above is possible.  This morning I was concerned we may be looking at another June 22nd style event, but now I'm concerned we may be looking at something much worse - a July 12-13th 1995 style event.  Back then, a system known as the "Right Turn Derecho" plowed across both peninsulas of Michigan and did massive damage to infrastructure all over the state.  Over 400,000 DTE customers were without power in this storm's wake.  Three people were killed and several were injured.  A state of emergency was declared by the governor, and damage costs were estimated in the tens of millions.

This would be a "worst case scenario" situation.  This is but one run of one model predicting this - others still suggest good tornado potential and a dual wave scenario like we saw in June

No comments:

Post a Comment