Likelihood of severe weather for Michigan on Saturday plummeting

Mid-range models are beginning to indicate that timing will not favor much severe thunderstorm potential in Michigan this Saturday.  My confidence in any real threat has all but vanished. 

Severe storms are increasingly likely to our west, and there's a chance that they may propagate into northern/central Michigan through the overnight hours, but chances are that by the time they get here they'll have weakened substantially, or even dissipated completely to the point that only rain will be left over.  Storm initiation still looks possible in the evening as the cold front comes through, but the models don't appear to be suggesting much.  The front is expected to stall into a quasi-stationary front which may bring thunderstorms on Sunday, but it remains to be seen what the timing will look like and whether or not there's any chance of severe development.