Monday, July 6, 2015

Probability of big storms tomorrow appears to be dwindling

While last night's high res short term models made it appear as though some isolated strong to severe storms were likely going to develop across southeast Michigan...



...this morning's model runs have drastically revised those storms out of the forecast:


The 9am run in particular is predicting little to no thunderstorm activity in SE Michigan tomorrow

I'd still say there is a very slight chance of an isolated severe storm in SE Michigan tomorrow, but the NAM4KM has been pretty trustworthy in terms of forecasting storms this year, and its accuracy tends to increase the closer it gets to zero hour.

No comments:

Post a Comment