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SCP index from last three consecutive GFS model runs, in order of appearance. The model has predicted more favorable conditions for severe weather in Michigan with each run. |
The last three consecutive GFS model runs have demonstrated likelihood for severe thunderstorm development in Michigan this coming Monday, with each successive run suggesting a more robust threat. This leads me to believe that changing dynamics favor a possible severe weather event in Michigan, possibly even a widespread straight-line wind event. It's too early to tell for sure, but late last night and this morning's runs especially are hinting at such a scenario.
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